SGM-FX insights

Our Daily Brief provides insights into the news and views driving today’s foreign currency exchange rates.

Retail Data Drags Dollar

Retail Data Drags Dollar

SGM-FX Thu 5 Oct 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Grace Gliksten:   In the UK overnight trading session, a further blow to the Australian Dollar was dealt by the retail market, further highlighting the importance of the decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia, RBA, to hold interest rates at 1.50 percent. Philip Lowe, governor of the RBA, claimed the […]

Brexit under May

Brexit under May

SGM-FX Wed 4 Oct 2017

  Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   The original Brexit vote was motivated by a dissensus within the incumbent Conservative government under David Cameron; at least that is the public and academic consensus. I argue that this suggests that the delivery of a final secession, and the eventual form that Brexit takes, will be […]

Australian Dove

Australian Dove

SGM-FX Tue 3 Oct 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Grace Gliksten:   For the fourteenth month in a row, the Reserve Bank of Australia, RBA, has left the Cash Rate on hold at 1.50%; a trend that seems unlikely to change in the coming months, due steadfast adherence to a neutral bias. Unsurprisingly, the Australian Dollar reacted negatively. Surprisingly, the […]

Puigdemont leads Catalonia out

Puigdemont leads Catalonia out

SGM-FX Tue 3 Oct 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Grace Gliksten:   This article discusses the implications of Catalonia’s independence referendum over the weekend. Following a period of considerable Euro strength, the political uncertainty threatens to halt its gains and shroud the Eurozone economy within doubt.   Falling somewhere between a centrist and a social democrat, Carles Puigdemont started his […]

Party Conference and Sterling

Party Conference and Sterling

SGM-FX Mon 2 Oct 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   In theory, the Conservative Party Conference taking place in Manchester could boost the Pound Sterling. This is because it is an opportunity to bring all Conservative Party MPs and Ministerial Cabinet Members together and provide a coherent and harmonious vision of their leadership intentions. However, the content, disorder […]

Catalonia and the Euro:

Catalonia and the Euro:

SGM-FX Mon 2 Oct 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   It is indisputable that this weekend’s referendum in Catalonia generates considerable headline risk within Europe. The instability, uncertainty, and political risk within the Spanish economy has reflected within nationally sensitive equities and indicators. However, the purchasing power of the Euro, its exchange rate vis-à-vis other currencies, appears to […]

Dovish Canadian Bank – Part 2

Dovish Canadian Bank – Part 2

SGM-FX Wed 27 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   Hawkish monetary policy rhetoric has enveloped financial markets, and particularly currency markets, over the past couple of weeks. High volatility has prevailed, even within the most developed currencies. The Bank of Canada was the exclusive major developed economy to have ‘walked the walk’, and raise interest rates earlier […]

Dovish Canadian Bank – Part 1

Dovish Canadian Bank – Part 1

SGM-FX Wed 27 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   Hawkish monetary policy rhetoric has enveloped financial markets, and particularly currency markets, over the past couple of weeks. High volatility has prevailed, even within the most developed currencies. The Bank of Canada was the exclusive major developed economy to have ‘walked the walk’, and raise interest rates earlier […]

Angela Win; Anglo Win?

Angela Win; Anglo Win?

SGM-FX Tue 26 Sep 2017

  Our Foreign Exchange Specialist, Charles Porter, speaks with London School of Economics Associate Professor, Dr. Waltraud Schelkle. Regarding Brexit, we discuss how the passing of the German election may accelerate progress within negotiations as well as the possibility, acceptability and likelihood of a Second EU referendum within the UK.    Understanding the Brexit process, including the rate of progress […]

German Elections and Brexit

German Elections and Brexit

SGM-FX Tue 26 Sep 2017

Our Foreign Exchange Specialist, Charles Porter, speaks with London School of Economics Associate Professor, Dr. Waltraud Schelkle. Regarding Brexit, we discuss how the passing of the German election may accelerate progress within negotiations as well as the possibility, acceptability and likelihood of a Second EU referendum within the UK.                  […]

To Hedge or Not to Hedge – Part 2

To Hedge or Not to Hedge – Part 2

SGM-FX Mon 25 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter   Today our social media interactions indicated an uptake in hedging options including the use of forward contracts. Specifically, corporations concerned about their exposure to import markets and international firms vulnerable to payroll and exchange transactions are seeking insure against downside risk and exchange rate fluctuations. The present uptake […]

To Hedge or Not to Hedge – Part One

To Hedge or Not to Hedge – Part One

SGM-FX Mon 25 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter   Today our social media interactions indicated an uptake in hedging options including the use of forward contracts. Specifically, corporations concerned about their exposure to import markets and international firms vulnerable to payroll and exchange transactions are seeking insure against downside risk and exchange rate fluctuations. The present uptake […]

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