SGM-FX insights

Our Daily Brief provides insights into the news and views driving today’s foreign currency exchange rates.

Daily Brief – Chinese Yuan

Daily Brief – Chinese Yuan

Humphrey Percy Wed 31 Dec 2025

Chinese Yuan Leaving aside the Frankincense and Myrrh, it is the relationship between the prices of Gold and Silver that are worth a further look at this point. In the past month, the ratio between 2026 could be the year that the Chinese Yuan becomes a world funding currency because of the ever-onward march of […]

Daily Brief – Precious Metals

Daily Brief – Precious Metals

Humphrey Percy Mon 29 Dec 2025

Previous Metals Leaving aside the Frankincense and Myrrh, it is the relationship between the prices of Gold and Silver that are worth a further look at this point. In the past month, the ratio between Gold and Silver has moved from 80:1 to 64:1 or a 20% move. Some precious metal traders are claiming that […]

Daily Brief – USA and the UK: 2 different tales

Daily Brief – USA and the UK: 2 different tales

Humphrey Percy Wed 24 Dec 2025

USA and the UK: 2 different tales Last week hedge fund tyro and super successful business builder Ken Griffin of Citadel gave a powerful interview on Bloomberg TV. One of his well-made points was that Europe needs to become more businesslike and encourage and applaud business. We took a look at the Top 50 World Companies: […]

Daily Brief – European Job Vacancies

Daily Brief – European Job Vacancies

Humphrey Percy Mon 22 Dec 2025

European Job Vacancies Here’s a chart which made us sit up and reflect on how things differ across the larger European economies. Looking at job vacancies in 2020 at the time of the pandemic versus today, France and Germany have approximately 15% more jobs on offer whereas Spain has 53% more and Italy a stonking […]

Daily Brief – Bank of England

Daily Brief – Bank of England

Humphrey Percy Fri 19 Dec 2025

Bank of England As expected, the Monetary Policy Committee delivered a 25bp rate cut to 3.75% yesterday lunchtime. This was what is being described as a hawkish cut which means that further reductions are less predictable in a mixed economic environment which has the curate’s egg attributes of rising unemployment and falling inflation. The Committee […]

Daily Brief – Eurozone Growth

Daily Brief – Eurozone Growth

Humphrey Percy Wed 17 Dec 2025

Eurozone Growth Those productive Germans have for the second month been less productive it turns out in December which was a surprise to the pointy heads deputed to monitor EU stats. The story is as follows: the German services sector remains relatively resilient but manufacturing output has declined. At present the French economy is doing the […]

Daily Brief – UK Economy

Daily Brief – UK Economy

Humphrey Percy Mon 15 Dec 2025

UK Economy The question is whether the contraction of 0.1% in the UK economy announced on Friday between August and October was as a result of the Chancellor’s economic strategy or due to her Hokey Cokey Budget that resulted in UK plc sitting on its hands for 3 months in the run up to November […]

Daily Brief – Profit Repatriation

Daily Brief – Profit Repatriation

Humphrey Percy Fri 12 Dec 2025

Profit Repatriation For UK companies with overseas earnings reporting in Sterling, 2025 has been a salutary tale of a strengthening British Pound with periods of volatility prompted primarily by geo and domestic politics and POTUS. GBP/USD has seen a range of 1.22 to 1.37 and GBP/EUR 1.13 to 1.22. Finance managers at such companies are […]

Daily Brief – Condensed Hours

Daily Brief – Condensed Hours

Humphrey Percy Wed 10 Dec 2025

Condensed Hours This is a relatively new concept which used to be called flexi hours and is available to public sector workers who as we have already written, are permitted to WFH – almost 50% of the public sector are in fact WFH for 2 or 3 days per week and 73% want to WFH for […]

Daily Brief – Part-Time Employment

Daily Brief – Part-Time Employment

Humphrey Percy Mon 8 Dec 2025

Part-Time Employment It became fashionable to talk about the “Gig Economy” 20 years ago when technology allowed people to tele commute, and at the same time younger workers elected lifestyle over lucre and went for part time employment, permitting travel and more time for themselves to pursue their non work interests. Then the global financial […]

Daily Brief – British Pound

Daily Brief – British Pound

Humphrey Percy Fri 5 Dec 2025

British Pound A reflection of post Budget relief that it’s over rather than due to its imaginative, growth positive or business friendly measures which are all conspicuously lacking, but British Pound is up over 1% this week. Braver voices than our own have claimed that a more positive view of British business activity is the […]

Daily Brief – Office of Budget Responsibility

Daily Brief – Office of Budget Responsibility

Humphrey Percy Wed 3 Dec 2025

Office of Budget Responsibility If matters were not already murky enough, it now transpires that the unscheduled release of forecast on Budget Day was not a first for the OBR. Not really much of a story now that the previous Head of the OBR has done the honourable thing and fallen on his sword. But […]

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