Some of our readers have been asking what this means as they are struggling to get their heads around the concept. Essentially it is akin to a storage charge but imposed by banks for your money rather than by Big Yellow for your goods and chattels. Fortunately in the U.K. at least there are not negative interest rates-yet. However it is not inconceivable with rates falling sharply globally that at some point everyone will have to understand what the concept means. In Denmark a mortgage backed note has been issued with negative interest rates. Follow that through and instead of everyone paying to borrow to finance their homes secured by charges on their properties, in this Alice in Wonderland world, they will actually be paid to borrow money. Far fetched? Not at all and not (shortly) for the Nordic region!
Those negative interest rates are a real headache for the world’s richest families: Walton, Koch, Mars and the House of Saud to name but four. However it’s not holding them up much if at all with the Walton family earning an extra $4 million an hour…every hour or $100 million every day. The least wealthy of the top four dynasties is the House of Saud at just over $100 billion or rather a lot more by the time that you have been reading this! Just imagine the storage charges for that kind of wealth if it was left in cash and deposited with Swiss banks- it’s not of course all in cash but it would be eye watering!
Russia is shortly to overtake Saudi Arabia in terms of oil wealth influence having managed to save despite spending elsewhere in that vast territory. While symbolic it is only marginal and depends on a number of factors including new discoveries, the oil price and future exchange rates. WTI at $54.50.
Another lurch downward over the weekend as the market concludes that PM Johnson means it when he says that Brexit will take place with or without a deal.
Meanwhile focus is on the USD and the unfolding currency war between USA and China which is impacting….everyone.
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder
Keep calm and (don’t) carry on Over the past few weeks many of you would have noticed the slowly turning tide within many emerging market currencies. Bucking the trend that has persisted for much of this year, strong demand for emerging market currencies is subsiding. This is because institutional and investor interest within such currencies […]
UK: We Will Cut Taxes This morning will demonstrate that it is worth listening carefully when politicians make promises. In this case it is the word “will”, because with the economic tank almost completely dry, while he is a recent convert to the idea of cutting taxes, Chancellor Hunt has limited scope to do anything […]
Two defining developments Both for their respective currencies but also for wider market conditions, recent developments in the UK and Chinese economies will have a significant impact. The two headlines that have recently captured traders’ attention are publications of deflation in China and a push back on declining rate expectations in the UK. Let’s unpack […]