Big news this week has been the fallback in oil prices to WTI at $61. All eyes in the US and globally on the tea leaves following the Fed’s remarks this week and of course the forthcoming employment data. Bank of England upbeat about UK employment and Governor Carney said yesterday that once Brexit resolved(sic) rates may rise faster than anticipated thereby skirting around the uncomfortable fact that the BoE has been consistent-that is consistent to date in overstating the economic downturn following the EU Referendum 3 years ago.
The Role of Belgium in Europe – hold the front page!
This is, we stress, not a Jeremy Clarkson type diatribe (!) on Belgium’s role other than that of hosting the European parliament, Charles Michel the Belgian PM is setting out his stall as the bridge or le pont between Germany and France plus if that was not enough, positioning Belgian as the EU member that calls for a common European vision to counter populism. On top of that Belgium advocates peer group reviews for each country to evaluate the other EU members for their respect of the rule of law for the rights of their citizens and the health of their democracies. Phew! Does one detect a whiff of management consultants par excellence McKinsey?!
Call in their most famous export, Hercule Poirot tout de suite!
Blame it on Brexit journalism suggests that fewer Brits are going abroad this year. Top foreign holiday destinations remain:
1.Spain
2. Turkey
3. Greece
4. USA
5. Cyprus
Heady excitement from the lady on the counter that the sales of Egyptian Pounds through the Post Office have increased 687% in the past year. From a low base and still a small slice of the tourism pie however…..
Walk like an Egyptian….
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder

FX Rates in 2035 Goldman Sachs yesterday published their long term forecasts for FX rates in 2035. Those forecasts are based on the “mean-reverting behaviour of real exchange rates adjusted for structural factors such as productivity growth and terms of trade”. Before getting too excited, it is worth pointing out that using that methodology is exactly how […]
Friday night US Markets There was an element of the US stock market temporarily running out of oxygen at the heady heights that it had reached and looking for an excuse to take profits/sell. That excuse was provided in spades by POTUS who pronounced that he would implement much higher tariffs against China. That was […]
UK Productivity The OBR or Office for Budget Responsibility has likely downgraded its forecast for UK Productivity by the time that you are reading this. Despite taking a leaf out of her boss’s PM playbook and jetting off on an overseas business trip when unwelcome economic news is in the offing, for Chancellor Reeves there […]