This was the lowest reading in the current economic cycle and the lowest since 1973 which maintained confidence in a very firm labour market and expectations that the Federal Reserve would move to tighten policy in the short term.
Fed Governor Powell maintained an optimistic tone on the outlook and stated that the Fed was very close to meeting its 2% target while a rate increase is on the table for discussion at the March FOMC meeting.
Increased expectations of a March Fed tightening continued to support the dollar, although the Euro did find some support on approach to the 1.0500 level as markets had already moved closer to pricing in a US rate hike with futures markets indicating over a 75% chance of a move.
The Euro found some support at the 1.0500 area without making any significant headway as markets waited for comments from Fed Chair Yellen and Vice-Chair Fischer after the European close on Friday.
A short lived short squeeze? Sterling is undoubtedly benefitting from a short squeeze. Traders on net had increased positions that benefit from Sterling’s demise leading into the budget. Depending upon the participant’s persuasion, that could have meant gaining an outright short exposure to the currency or, in a more mild form, trimming any or all […]
A week out Markets are now in their final few trading days ahead of a Fed blackout that will precede the Reserve’s decision next Wednesday. The US government shutdown, despite now feeling like a distant memory, continues to weigh on the Dollar and market pricing in general. In particular, as we approach the decision next […]
The Hassett Trade Not another one, I hear you say. So far this year we’ve seen bandied around the TACO trade, the Trump put, FOMO trade, the MEGA trade, surely there isn’t another to surface before year end?! Wrong. The so-called Hassett trade is that which is currently pushing the Dollar lower but coming to […]