The US NFIB small-business confidence index edged higher to 105.9 for February from 105.8 previously while there was a stronger than expected reading for producer prices with a 0.6% monthly gain.
In her prepared comments to the Senate Banking Committee, Fed Chair Yellen reiterated that it was dangerous to wait too long before raising interest rates given the risk that disruptive interest rates could then be required which could push the economy into recession.
According to Yellen, the FOMC expects the labour market to strengthen further with inflation rising gradually towards 2%.
Overall, she expected further gradual interest rates to be warranted and that the committee will evaluate whether further adjustment of the Fed Funds rate is needed at forthcoming meetings.
The comments were seen as relatively hawkish with no move to rule out a March hike with Yellen stating that all meetings are live.
Futures markets moved to price in around a 35% chance of three rate hikes for 2017 from just below 30% ahead of the testimony.
The dollar gained ground with the Euro dipping to five-week lows in the 1.0570 area and the US currency held firm on Wednesday.
A short lived short squeeze? Sterling is undoubtedly benefitting from a short squeeze. Traders on net had increased positions that benefit from Sterling’s demise leading into the budget. Depending upon the participant’s persuasion, that could have meant gaining an outright short exposure to the currency or, in a more mild form, trimming any or all […]
Sterling slides Sterling took a leg lower ahead of the European open yesterday. Despite some tentative signs of recovery, GBP was still unable to claw back losses incurred during yesterday’s session. Before we cover the cause and implications of yesterday’s stumble amongst GBP crosses, let’s look at why the Pound was set up for a […]
No bumps in the road The first three weeks of December were characterised by a heavy data and central bank schedule. Last week saw multiple G10 central banks release their latest monetary policy decisions following the release of economic data in the sessions prior. The government shut down earlier this quarter did little to help […]