UK Government Borrowing
News yesterday that the UK government had a surplus ie did not need to borrow in January to the tune of GBP5.4 billion. This followed a December deficit of GBP27.4billion which was the worst performance in the 30 years of records for a December . Before declaring victory that the tide has turned in January it should be remembered that the UK total government borrowing currently stands at GBP2.49 trillion. GBP/USD1.2110.
Dow Jones Index
Poor earnings from some key Main Street stocks including Home Depot yesterday plus geopolitical tensions with President Putin walking away from the nuclear non proliferation treaty last night were enough to more than wobble the Dow. All that plus rising interest rates and economic data pointing to a slow down ahead in the US economy, the latest being home sales at a new recent low. EUR/USD 1.0660
Paczki Day
Yesterday our Polish readers were wishing each other Happy Paczki Day . In case you are wondering it’s pronounced POONCH-key. Wherever you come from yesterday was the last chance to binge on unhealthily califoric cakes/ pancakes ahead of Lent which starts today Ash Wednesday.
GBP/EUR 1.1350
Asda and Morrison
UK supermarkets are introducing vegetable rationing due to shortages: lettuces and tomatoes in Asda restricted to 3 of each per customer. Morrisons are capping cucumbers to 3 per person and restricting other vegetables including peppers. No plans to ration so far at M&S, Sainsbury’s and Tesco, but it can only be a matter of time . It is all down to extreme weather particularly in Spain and North Africa where much of this produce is grown. Meanwhile canny shopping arbitrageurs can shuttle between supermarkets. Next thing doubtlessly will be lettuce hoarding?!
Car Wash
This day in 1977 this number by Rose Royce was not only on every radio station’s playlist but went Platinum.
You might not ever get rich
But let me tell ya it’s better than diggin’ a ditch
There ain’t no tellin’ who you might meet
A movie star or maybe even an Indian chief
At the car wash
Workin’ at the car wash, girl
Come on and sing it with me
(Car wash)
Sing it with the feelin’ y’all
(Car wash, yeah)
Ooh
Come, some of the work gets kinda hard
This ain’t no place to be if you planned on bein’ a star
Let me tell you it’s always cool
And the boss don’t mind sometimes if you act the fool
At the car wash
Whoa whoa whoa whoa
Talkin’ about the car wash, girl
Come on, ya’all and sing it for me
(Car wash)
Ooh ooh ooh
(Car wash, girl)
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder
British Pound That Indian Summer predicted for GBP took a knock yesterday, with UK PM Sir Keir reshuffling some of his top team and the markets scoring it, as a blow for Chancellor Reeves since the PM seems to be recruiting a rival economic team to try and regain control of the UK economy and the […]
US Consumer Spending Inflation may be a concern, consumer sentiment may be low, the US labour market may be slowing but in the past four months the US consumer has been out and proud: spending. While consumer spending fell on an inflation adjusted basis for H1 2025, taking the period from may to end August […]
Independent Central Banks The concept that has served the USA and the wider world so well for more than 8 decades is being tested in respect of the Federal Reserve by POTUS and the financial world is largely so far, complacent. Distinguished economist Paul Krugman wrote an excellent piece yesterday and his conclusion, other than […]