GBP…and where to over the next few weeks?
At the beginning of Valentine week (following the week that was) it is timely to remind ourselves of what the various outcomes could mean from the UK Parliament vote as and when it occurs. The chart below struck me as being useful and thanks to our friends at RBC CM who have collated it.
Possible scenarios and potential Sterling outcomes: worth preparing given that it now looks as if the Prime Minister’s plan is to tell Parliament that a vote will be pushed out from Thursday for at least two weeks.
Markets start the week with a further US Government Shutdown looking increasingly likely following Congressional talks running into trouble and the Democrats and Republicans rumoured not to be talking to each other over the weekend. Stock markets around the world closed last week mostly either small up or down with FTSE +0.73%, Dow +0.17% but with the Nikkei -2.40% despite the Hang Seng more positively at +1.36%-the Chinese market came back in a positive frame of mind after their New Year celebrations.
In Currency world GBP after some see saw days in the past couple of weeks remains steady and unchanged against USD and EUR and ZAR. That could come to an abrupt halt with increased volatility later in the week once the debate restarts on Brexit and the UK’s increasingly fractious relationship with Brussels. NB Brussels not necessarily all of Europe!
So in Rick’s words:
The Prime Minister is no doubt hoping that the Conservative Party this week of all weeks is:
Never gonna give you up
Never gonna let you down
Never gonna run around and desert you
Never gonna make you cry
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder
POTUS in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia As one of POTUS’ travelling companions on this week’s visit, Larry Fink of Blackrock represents everything that a US President might want to burnish his credentials in the desert kingdom: head of the largest asset manager on the planet, hugely influential and totally credible. Just a shame that he […]
UK Borrowing Another one for the pub quiz in case it comes up: UK government borrowing stands at £2.8 trillion or £2800 billion. While you digest that number over the chicken in the basket if indeed you are already in the pub, it will have increased by the time you get to the end of this […]
The Art of the Deal Today the UK Prime Minister will be announcing the fruits of his weekend labours after meeting the EU not as an accredited delegate but in a side session on the fringes of the EU Summit in Albania. What was on the table? Youth mobility, which is pol speak for 24-30 […]