IMF
The International Monetary Fund pronounced in a popular way for a change yesterday, announcing that interest rates would only remain high for a short time and indeed the level of interest rates would revert to pre-pandemic levels. No mention of when that might be, but nevertheless providing some cheer. Naysayers might understandably point out that the reason that interest rates were at such low levels pre-pandemic was because there was a concerted effort to rescue the world from the 2008 global financial crisis and that rates were abnormally low to achieve that. Therefore interest rates are not going to revert to what was not the norm. Also inflation targeting is in the process of being adjusted up from the previous 2% level globally in developed economies to a range of 3.0 to 3.5%. Far be it from us, of course, to rain on the normally miserable IMF’s parade.
GBP/USD 1.2440.
Most expensive UK Seaside Resort
For many years Sandbanks in Dorset held this title, but following Bournemouth Council’s willingness to allow high rise apartment blocks and the successive easing of planning restrictions resulting in ever more intensive building, Sandbanks has been edged out by Salcombe, Devon which has an average house price of GBP 1.2 million. At the other end of the scale is Newbiggin-By-The Sea in Northumberland where the average house price is GBP 117 K.
Spanish High
3000 years ago Spanish people were getting high on hallucinogenic drugs and partying on the Balearic island of Menorca. That’s progress for you: it’s taken 3000 years for the Spanish party scene to shift a few miles away to the island of Ibiza.
EUR/USD 1.0910.
China
A further sign that China is indeed emerging from a Covid induced contraction in its economy: an unprecedented recruitment drive of airline stewardesses. Airlines are returning to previous levels of activity and are short of staff while at the same time there is a surfeit of university graduates with no jobs. Lured by the high pay, training and opportunity for travel, airlines are besieged by applications. Come fly with me.
USD/CNY 6.8850.
Dancing in the Street
It was this day in 2006 that the Martha and the Vandellas version of this song was announced as one of the 50 songs that should be preserved by the Library of Congress to the US National Recording Registry. Written by Marvin Gaye in 1964 it quickly became popular and stayed popular.
Callin’ out around the world
Are you ready for a brand new beat
Summer’s here and the time is right
For dancing in the street
They’re dancing in Chicago (dancing in the street)
Down in New Orleans (dancing in the street)
In New York City (dancing in the street)
All we need is music, sweet music
There’ll be music everywhere
There’ll be swingin’ and swayin’ and records playing
Dancing in the street
Oh it doesn’t matter what you wear
Just as long as you are there
So come on ev’ry guy grab a girl
Everywhere around the world
There’ll be dancing (dancing in the street)
They’re dancing in the street
Dancing in the street
It’s just an invitation across the nation
A chance for folks to meet
There’ll be laughing, singing and music swinging
Dancing in the street
Philadelphia, PA (dancing in the street)
Baltimore and D.C. now (dancing in the street)
Can’t forget the Motor City (dancing in the street)
All we need is music, sweet music
There’ll be music everywhere
There’ll be swingin’, swayin’ and records playing
And dancing in the street
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder

                    
        Friday night US Markets There was an element of the US stock market temporarily running out of oxygen at the heady heights that it had reached and looking for an excuse to take profits/sell. That excuse was provided in spades by POTUS who pronounced that he would implement much higher tariffs against China. That was […]
                    
        EU Expansion With expansion once again on the EU agenda this week and a report saying that more than half the population of the EU are keen to expand the bloc further, it is worth looking at the official candidates: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Moldova, North Macedonia, Serbia plus Turkey and Ukraine with Kosovo as a […]
                    
        FX Rates in 2035 Goldman Sachs yesterday published their long term forecasts for FX rates in 2035. Those forecasts are based on the “mean-reverting behaviour of real exchange rates adjusted for structural factors such as productivity growth and terms of trade”. Before getting too excited, it is worth pointing out that using that methodology is exactly how […]