IMF
The International Monetary Fund pronounced in a popular way for a change yesterday, announcing that interest rates would only remain high for a short time and indeed the level of interest rates would revert to pre-pandemic levels. No mention of when that might be, but nevertheless providing some cheer. Naysayers might understandably point out that the reason that interest rates were at such low levels pre-pandemic was because there was a concerted effort to rescue the world from the 2008 global financial crisis and that rates were abnormally low to achieve that. Therefore interest rates are not going to revert to what was not the norm. Also inflation targeting is in the process of being adjusted up from the previous 2% level globally in developed economies to a range of 3.0 to 3.5%. Far be it from us, of course, to rain on the normally miserable IMF’s parade.
GBP/USD 1.2440.
Most expensive UK Seaside Resort
For many years Sandbanks in Dorset held this title, but following Bournemouth Council’s willingness to allow high rise apartment blocks and the successive easing of planning restrictions resulting in ever more intensive building, Sandbanks has been edged out by Salcombe, Devon which has an average house price of GBP 1.2 million. At the other end of the scale is Newbiggin-By-The Sea in Northumberland where the average house price is GBP 117 K.
Spanish High
3000 years ago Spanish people were getting high on hallucinogenic drugs and partying on the Balearic island of Menorca. That’s progress for you: it’s taken 3000 years for the Spanish party scene to shift a few miles away to the island of Ibiza.
EUR/USD 1.0910.
China
A further sign that China is indeed emerging from a Covid induced contraction in its economy: an unprecedented recruitment drive of airline stewardesses. Airlines are returning to previous levels of activity and are short of staff while at the same time there is a surfeit of university graduates with no jobs. Lured by the high pay, training and opportunity for travel, airlines are besieged by applications. Come fly with me.
USD/CNY 6.8850.
Dancing in the Street
It was this day in 2006 that the Martha and the Vandellas version of this song was announced as one of the 50 songs that should be preserved by the Library of Congress to the US National Recording Registry. Written by Marvin Gaye in 1964 it quickly became popular and stayed popular.
Callin’ out around the world
Are you ready for a brand new beat
Summer’s here and the time is right
For dancing in the street
They’re dancing in Chicago (dancing in the street)
Down in New Orleans (dancing in the street)
In New York City (dancing in the street)
All we need is music, sweet music
There’ll be music everywhere
There’ll be swingin’ and swayin’ and records playing
Dancing in the street
Oh it doesn’t matter what you wear
Just as long as you are there
So come on ev’ry guy grab a girl
Everywhere around the world
There’ll be dancing (dancing in the street)
They’re dancing in the street
Dancing in the street
It’s just an invitation across the nation
A chance for folks to meet
There’ll be laughing, singing and music swinging
Dancing in the street
Philadelphia, PA (dancing in the street)
Baltimore and D.C. now (dancing in the street)
Can’t forget the Motor City (dancing in the street)
All we need is music, sweet music
There’ll be music everywhere
There’ll be swingin’, swayin’ and records playing
And dancing in the street
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder
Stagflation USA This is the spectre confronting Federal Reserve Chair Powell and the wider USA. It is unusual simultaneously to have both rising unemployment and higher prices with the consequence of rising inflation, but that is where the USA stands today, in the face of the TT or Trump tariffs. Unsurprisingly, despite POTUS offering his […]
Oil Price Pre TT or Trump Tariffs, the oil price seesawed around but mostly reverted to its mean over a few trading sessions unless a major piece of economic, political or trade news arose. All that has gone out of the window with steady declines in session after session, so in case you have been […]
Asia on Fire The TWD or Taiwan Dollar has scarcely featured in most FX traders’ consciousness until the past four weeks, when the NTD has roared up over 10%. The Korean Won has managed a respectable 6%, the Thai Baht and the Malaysian Ringgit 5% and the Singapore Dollar 4%. So what’s behind it? The […]