A Tale of Two Cities
Very early yesterday morning Lloyds Bank of the UK released the results of its Business Confidence Survey and it is fair to say it was more Bah Humbug than full of seasonal cheer since it showed the largest monthly fall since August 2022 down from 42 to 35. Meanwhile the USA’s Conference Board released their Consumer Confidence data which showed that for the third consecutive month and at its highest level since July thanks to a strong job market and the overall US business climate, the US is open for business and confident.
GBP/USD 1.2630.
Swipe Right
For the man or woman who has (nearly) everything, just popped up in the Christmas stocking stakes in case you are looking for that certain last minute something, is the offer from Tinder of a premium subscription costing a reassuringly expensive USD 499 or GBP395 a month. That will open a world of opportunities to a subscriber giving them more prominent placement which will be seen by “its most sought after profiles”. Well, that’s a good start on this the shortest day of 2023..
EUR/USD 1.0950.
Only In Norfolk
In fact it will be 75 miles off the coast of Norfolk, UK that in 3 years by the end of 2027, 2.9 Giga Watts of electricity will be generated by 200 wind turbines and will create 5,000 jobs during the construction phase. What all that adds up to apart from a considerable hazard to Santa when flying his sleigh, is the title once it is commissioned of the new Hornsea wind farm becoming the world’s single largest offshore wind farm.
GBP/EUR 1.1535.
Full English
Clearly with little to do as markets slow down for the Christmas break, Bloomberg has set its army of analysts to examining the move in the ingredients of a Full English/Welsh/Scottish/Irish Cooked Breakfast. Unsurprisingly the ingredients have risen 5.4% overall in the past year with the pork sausage being the big mover up by 14% while mushrooms have only increased in price by 2%. Butter on the other hand has fallen by 8%-it must be all those millennials eschewing full fat butter in favour of lite Margarine.
USD/JPY 142.70.
Material Girl
This day in 2000 Madonna married British film director Guy Ritchie at Skibo Castle, Scotland. It all started so well but the marriage came to an end just less than 8 years later. Great wedding though and it also proves that some weddings are indeed just for Christmas.
Some boys kiss me
Some boys hug me
I think they’re ok
If they don’t give me proper credit
I just walk away
They can beg and they can plead
But they can’t see the light (that’s right)
‘Cause the boy with the cold hard cash
Is always Mister Right
‘Cause we are living in a material world
And I am a material girl
You know that we are living in a material world
And I am a material girl
Some boys romance
Some boys slow dance
That’s all right with me
If they can’t raise my interest then I
Have to let them be
Some boys try and some boys lie but
I don’t let them play (no way)
Only boys who save their pennies
Make my rainy day
‘Cause we’re living in a material world
And I am a material girl
Have a Very Happy Christmas!
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder
Weren’t Tariffs USD Negative? The Dollar proved sensitive to headlines regarding trade during the US overnight session. However, contrary to what many commentaries would have you believe, as the risk of tariffs escalated the Dollar rose. The 90-day pause following Trump’s April ‘liberation day’ tariffs had been set to expire this coming Wednesday. To the […]
Dollar Reserves With the passing of Trump’s original deadline for the reimposition of liberation day tariffs yesterday, markets have breathed a sigh of relief. July VIX futures continued to slide lower. Moreover, what may surprise anyone who had been expecting the issue of tariffs to resurface following the passing of Trump’s new deadline, so too […]
Big Girls Don’t Cry A bond market tantrum and one of the sharpest one day sell offs in Sterling for several years appear to have been catalysed by the Chancellor’s appearance in PMQs yesterday. First: the back story. This Labour government has faced some embarrassment in recent weeks trying to get its welfare bill through […]