SGM-FX insights

CBDCs Coming to your High Street soon: Central Bank Digital Currencies. The largest due to launch next year is the digital Euro. The Bank of England is still looking into it. Given that we have bank transfers, electronic banking, credit and debit cards and multiple payment cards the question is what will be the plus […]

Oil At a smidge below USD70, Brent oil rose sharply at the beginning of the week on the back of two principal factors: firstly, the EU committing to buy USD 750 billion of energy products from the USA as part of the 15% tariff trade deal; secondly, POTUS’ 50 day ultimatum to President Putin to […]

Greek Water Greek PM Mitsotakis is taking action on Greece’s problem of widespread water shortages brought on by climate change and increasing demand for what is an increasingly scarce water supply exacerbated by drought. A 5 pronged nationwide plan to tackle the crisis which has evidenced itself with forest fires and arid landscapes is being […]

EU Interest Rates As expected the ECB held interest rates yesterday. Unsurprising, given the August 1 deadline on the US tariffs that might see a punitive tariff rate of 30% on the EU, although talks are meant to be getting closer to a 15% rate and in sight of the finishing tape. That means that […]

UK Government Borrowing At GBP 2.7 trillion or 2,700 billion, the UK is one of the most indebted nations, but to put that in perspective the UK Government borrowing is equivalent to 96% or almost 1 year of the UK’s Gross Domestic Product. Broadly between 1975 and 2008, the percentage was between 40 and 50%. […]

US Dollar As markets mostly do after a near straight line decline of 14% up until the end of June USD has clawed back 2% since July 1. For the next couple of months it would look as if USD will consolidate further. What could spoil that? 1. Unexpected US protectionism in the shape of […]

EU Budget There’s nothing like a EUR 2 Trillion Budget to test the bonds of brotherhood binding the EU bloc to squeaking point. Yesterday, President Ursula von Der Leyen launched her increased and eye watering strategic budget which has already met what is politely termed a mixed reception by the EU Parliament as the key […]

FTSE100 With all eyes on the Westminster PM – Chancellor drama recently, or alternatively the saga of POTUS tariffs, it is easy to overlook the positive in that the FTSE is up 10% this year and has just notched up a new “big figure” and an all time high of 9000+. All too often the […]

Georgia Having applied to join the EU in March 2022 and been granted accession in December 2023, Georgia seemed to have been on course to join the EU. However, a few months later the EU and Georgia terminated the process. With the Georgia Dream party in power, and all the leaders of the pro West […]

Strong USD Those punitive tariff threats – Copper 50%, Brazil 50% and Pharmaceuticals 200% had a marked effect on USD. Bizarrely, while POTUS has been conducting his self-harming measures on the USA and the USD, he sees no contradiction in maintaining that he sees USD remaining the primary world reserve currency. A total of 22 […]

Australia Falling inflation, sluggish economic growth, a strong currency, lower living standards and low productivity would normally easily add up to an interest rate cut by the central bank: not in Australia where it was widely expected that yesterday would indeed see a rate cut. That is because the Reserve Bank of Australia is worried […]

Poland June 2025 will go down as a milestone for the energy sector in Poland as it was the first month that renewable energy overtook fossil fuels as a proportion of Poland’s total energy requirements. Poland is one of the highest emitting countries only behind China, Kuwait, South Africa, and Kazakhstan and despite coal consumption […]