SGM-FX insights

Our Daily Brief provides insights into the news and views driving today’s foreign currency exchange rates.

Daily Brief – Dollar Reserves 

Daily Brief – Dollar Reserves 

Charles Porter Thu 10 Jul 2025

Dollar Reserves  With the passing of Trump’s original deadline for the reimposition of liberation day tariffs yesterday, markets have breathed a sigh of relief. July VIX futures continued to slide lower. Moreover, what may surprise anyone who had been expecting the issue of tariffs to resurface following the passing of Trump’s new deadline, so too […]

Daily Brief – Australia

Daily Brief – Australia

Humphrey Percy Wed 9 Jul 2025

Australia Falling inflation, sluggish economic growth, a strong currency, lower living standards and low productivity would normally easily add up to an interest rate cut by the central bank: not in Australia where it was widely expected that yesterday would indeed see a rate cut. That is because the Reserve Bank of Australia is worried […]

Daily Brief – Weren’t Tariffs USD Negative?

Daily Brief – Weren’t Tariffs USD Negative?

Charles Porter Tue 8 Jul 2025

Weren’t Tariffs USD Negative? The Dollar proved sensitive to headlines regarding trade during the US overnight session. However, contrary to what many commentaries would have you believe, as the risk of tariffs escalated the Dollar rose. The 90-day pause following Trump’s April ‘liberation day’ tariffs had been set to expire this coming Wednesday. To the […]

Daily Brief – Poland

Daily Brief – Poland

Humphrey Percy Mon 7 Jul 2025

Poland June 2025 will go down as a milestone for the energy sector in Poland as it was the first month that renewable energy overtook fossil fuels as a proportion of Poland’s total energy requirements. Poland is one of the highest emitting countries only behind China, Kuwait, South Africa, and Kazakhstan and despite coal consumption […]

Daily Brief – Sterling

Daily Brief – Sterling

Humphrey Percy Fri 4 Jul 2025

Sterling No sooner had the financial press written that Sterling was on the skids due to the Chancellor being on the way out, than PM Starmer woke up to the need for some TLC for his beleaguered Chancellor and executed a handbrake turn to administer some gruesome bedside cheer to the apparently on life support […]

Daily Brief – Big Girls Don’t Cry

Daily Brief – Big Girls Don’t Cry

Charles Porter Thu 3 Jul 2025

Big Girls Don’t Cry A bond market tantrum and one of the sharpest one day sell offs in Sterling for several years appear to have been catalysed by the Chancellor’s appearance in PMQs yesterday. First: the back story. This Labour government has faced some embarrassment in recent weeks trying to get its welfare bill through […]

Daily Brief – EU Inflation

Daily Brief – EU Inflation

Humphrey Percy Wed 2 Jul 2025

EU Inflation With the ECB annual symposium meeting in sunny Sintra, Portugal, inflation is very much on President Lagarde’s mind ; that is because it is showing signs of rising with the monthly inflation rate showing an increase of 0.3% and that presages a break above the target 2% rate just as she and her colleagues […]

Daily Brief – Next level

Daily Brief – Next level

Charles Porter Tue 1 Jul 2025

Next level EURUSD has managed a relatively smooth ascent to its current levels, around 1.18. That is despite significant resistance levels, most notably around 1.17. A large collection of option strike prices gathered around this key level and the price history of the pair shows us its significance. Sustained closes above this level since last […]

Daily Brief – Gold

Daily Brief – Gold

Humphrey Percy Mon 30 Jun 2025

Gold With Gold accounting for the second highest proportion of Central Bank reserves after the USD and the mood music shifting to it assuming a greater influence on future reserves management, it is worth looking at the numbers behind that. In the 1960s, Central Banks held the highest amount historically of 38,000 tons of gold. […]

Daily Brief – US Dollar

Daily Brief – US Dollar

Humphrey Percy Fri 27 Jun 2025

US Dollar Markets not liking POTUS pontificating on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy on Wednesday, and less still on his view about the competence or otherwise of Chairman Powell. Given the past few weeks, the betting is that Powell’s time is over either being replaced or having a Trump nominee second guessing him but […]

Daily Brief – A weaker Dollar: Trump vs. Powell

Daily Brief – A weaker Dollar: Trump vs. Powell

Charles Porter Thu 26 Jun 2025

A weaker Dollar: Trump vs. Powell The Dollar continued to lose ground yesterday as the truce between Israel and Iran appeared to continue to hold. There has been a noticeable return to focus upon macro and monetary influences in major currency pairs. Yesterday, Fed Chair Jay Powell provided his semi-annual monetary policy report before the […]

Daily Brief – NATO

Daily Brief – NATO

Humphrey Percy Wed 25 Jun 2025

NATO This week sees the 32 member countries of NATO convening in The Hague for the annual meeting which this time unsurprisingly is going to attract rather more in the way of news coverage than it has in previous years. The ECFR or the European Council of Foreign Relations has just completed a poll of […]

1 2 3 83

    Get news and insights, delivered directly

    Start your day with a sharp, concise and relevant financial briefing from our team of experts.





    Stay ahead of the curve and get your daily briefings direct to your inbox. By signing up, you agree to our terms & conditions.