 
                            In testimony to the Treasury Select Committee, new Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Hogg stayed close to the bank’s recent script and there was no market impact.
There was choppy trading surrounding the Afternoon fix, but the UK currency was unable to gain sustained support, especially with real yields continuing to move against Sterling. The Euro edged towards 0.8550 on the day and the UK currency was unable to hold above 1.2450 against the dollar.
Scottish First Minister Sturgeon stated that a new independence referendum may be the only way for Scotland, maintaining a significant element of market unease surrounding the political outlook and the government could face defeat on in the House of Lords on an amendment to the Brexit Bill. Dollar developments dominated as Sterling retreated to below 1.24.
The latest PMI data will be watched closely on Wednesday while shop prices fell 1.0% in the year to February.01/03
 
                    
        FX Rates in 2035 Goldman Sachs yesterday published their long term forecasts for FX rates in 2035. Those forecasts are based on the “mean-reverting behaviour of real exchange rates adjusted for structural factors such as productivity growth and terms of trade”. Before getting too excited, it is worth pointing out that using that methodology is exactly how […]
 
                    
        Friday night US Markets There was an element of the US stock market temporarily running out of oxygen at the heady heights that it had reached and looking for an excuse to take profits/sell. That excuse was provided in spades by POTUS who pronounced that he would implement much higher tariffs against China. That was […]
 
                    
        UK Productivity The OBR or Office for Budget Responsibility has likely downgraded its forecast for UK Productivity by the time that you are reading this. Despite taking a leaf out of her boss’s PM playbook and jetting off on an overseas business trip when unwelcome economic news is in the offing, for Chancellor Reeves there […]
