This was the lowest reading in the current economic cycle and the lowest since 1973 which maintained confidence in a very firm labour market and expectations that the Federal Reserve would move to tighten policy in the short term.
Fed Governor Powell maintained an optimistic tone on the outlook and stated that the Fed was very close to meeting its 2% target while a rate increase is on the table for discussion at the March FOMC meeting.
Increased expectations of a March Fed tightening continued to support the dollar, although the Euro did find some support on approach to the 1.0500 level as markets had already moved closer to pricing in a US rate hike with futures markets indicating over a 75% chance of a move.
The Euro found some support at the 1.0500 area without making any significant headway as markets waited for comments from Fed Chair Yellen and Vice-Chair Fischer after the European close on Friday.
Stagflation USA This is the spectre confronting Federal Reserve Chair Powell and the wider USA. It is unusual simultaneously to have both rising unemployment and higher prices with the consequence of rising inflation, but that is where the USA stands today, in the face of the TT or Trump tariffs. Unsurprisingly, despite POTUS offering his […]
Oil Price Pre TT or Trump Tariffs, the oil price seesawed around but mostly reverted to its mean over a few trading sessions unless a major piece of economic, political or trade news arose. All that has gone out of the window with steady declines in session after session, Â so in case you have been […]
Asia on Fire The TWD or Taiwan Dollar has scarcely featured in most FX traders’ consciousness until the past four weeks, when the NTD has roared up over 10%. The Korean Won has managed a respectable 6%, the Thai Baht and the Malaysian Ringgit 5% and the Singapore Dollar 4%. So what’s behind it? The […]