The US data remained robust with initial jobless claims increasing only slightly to 239,000 in the latest week from 234,000 previously which still indicated a strong labour market with layoffs remaining at low levels. There was a small decline in housing starts to an annual rate of 1.25mn from 1.28mn previously while permits rose to 1.29mn from 1.23mn.
There was also a strong reading for the February Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey which increased to 43.3 from 23.6 and the highest reading for over 30 years, although the prices indices declined slightly on the month.
Fed Vice Chair Fischer backed Yellen’s stance on policy with expectations of further increase in rates and markets will continue to monitor comments in order to assess the potential for a rate hike at the March meeting. The dollar pushed higher immediately after the data, but was again unable to gain any traction and the Euro resisted any significant selling. Overall, the Euro rallied to the 1.0680 area as the dollar’s trade-weighted index declined by around 0.60%.
Forgiven Even with an equity correction underway at the start of yesterday’s session, it still appeared that the market was under-pricing the risk of a protracted conflict in the Middle East. FX and fixed income asset classes had reacted more severely with stronger defensive bids into currencies including the Dollar and Franc, but still the […]
Fade America There have been times during Trump’s second term that have had markets and financial commentators alike calling for an era of ‘sell-America’. Sell-America is the notion describing a scenario in which investor sentiment sours towards the US so much so that valuations across US assets decline. This is a unique scenario because many […]
Sell first, question later The jury is still out on whether the initial “sell everything” reaction to a sudden increase in geopolitical risk has concluded. Certainly, some volatility remains which serves as an indication that trading conditions have not calmed whilst markets continue to question how this chapter of US military intervention ends. Emerging markets […]