The UK PMI manufacturing index was lower than expected with a decline to 54.6 for February from a revised 55.7 the previous month.
The index remained above the long-term average and overall confidence remained firm with further gains in employment while inflation pressures remained strong. The net consumer lending, money supply and mortgage approvals releases were all stronger than expected, but Sterling came under renewed selling after the PMI data with a retreat to below 1.2350.
Wider US strength subsequently pushed the pair to 6-week lows below the 1.2300 level while the Euro strengthened to 0.8580. The government lost an Article 50 Amendment vote in the House of Lords over guaranteeing the rights of EU citizens in the UK. Although there will be expectations that the vote will be over-ruled in the House of Commons, there was some negative impact on Sterling sentiment and the UK currency remained firmly on the defensive on Thursday.
EU Stagflation With inflation blipping up and business activity turning down, the S word is back on the table. Not only manufacturing but also the services sector fell sharply in November with the Purchasing Managers Index at its lowest level this year. The EUR facing a rampant Dollar is increasingly undermined by its own weakening […]
UK Housing Market Best performance in the past two years etc etc with the Halifax average house price up 4.8% as at the end of November. Without being curmudgeonly or seasonally Scroogelike the real house price performance allowing for inflation in the last 2 years is minus 10.5% for all those mistakenly regarding their house […]
UK Equities We wrote recently about a European wide Santa Rally in Equities despite the political headwinds in Continental Europe, but it looks as if the UK market has finally managed to break out on the top side of its range and without wishing to jinx it, may be set fair. One well known Fund […]