UK consumer prices declined 0.5% in January and, although the year-on-year rate increased to 1.8% from 1.6% which was the highest rate since June 2014, this was slightly lower than the consensus forecast of a sharper increase to 1.9%.
There was significant upward pressure on transport costs which was offset by a decline in clothing prices.
The data will dampen expectations that the Bank of England may need to tighten monetary policy more aggressively to curb inflation, although there was a larger than expected increase in producer prices which suggests underlying pressures may be building.
Sterling weakened significantly following the inflation data with the UK currency moving back below the 1.2500 level as the Euro moved to the 0.8520 area, although gilts reversed initial gains.
The UK currency was resilient at lower levels and regained support during the New York session as the Euro retreated back below 0.8500. The latest labour-market data will be released on Wednesday with a particular focus on the earnings data.
US Presidential Race Never mind Monday’s TV debate that saw Kamala or Calm La Harris land some well judged blows on Donald Trump, the news afterwards about Harris securing the endorsement of Taylor Swift may well be seen as a if not the turning point in her path to the White House. Swifties are numerous […]
French Parliament Some more examination of President Macron’s appointment of Michel Barnier as his Prime Minister reveals more about the calculation behind the decision. Nothing to do with MB being known for being dull, nor for organising the 1992 Winter Olympics in Albertville and not even for his more recent role as EU Brexit negotiator. […]
Oil Why is oil at the year’s low? Look no further than the litany of reasons affecting the market as a whole. In no particular order: economic slowdown in China; vertiginous drop in Nvidia share price; disappointing economic releases in the USA particularly on Jobs and Manufacturing and last for good measure the expectation that […]