The Pound made great gains against the Euro, Dollar and Rand in the afternoon’s trading session following the Monetary Policy Committee’s split decision on raising interest rates.
The vote came in at 5-3 just after noon today to keep rates on hold at the record low 0.25%. Kristin Forbes surprisingly found support from two others to raise rates to 0.5%.
Markets were surprised and rightly so since this was the first time since 2011 that there has been 3 dissenters on the committee. Sterling reacted accordingly trading up aggressively against all major currencies, in particular recovering losses against the USD after yesterdays Fed announcement.
This announcement has acted as a smokescreen for the poor retail sales figures which came out in the morning session. Retail sales fell sharply last month pouring more uncertainty on the UK economy as we head into the Brexit negotiations.
Evens That is the bookies’ betting on PM Starmer being gone by the end of June following the UK Council Elections, which were even worse than had been expected for the Government. Whether that does indeed happen, equity prices are set for greater volatility, gilt yields, and therefore interest rates will likely remain at their […]
US Dollar The Maurits C. Boas Professor at Harvard University who is better known as the former IMF economist Ken Rogoff has broken cover about the USD: he is predicting that the Chinese Yuan will be a Reserve Currency within 5 years and the USD will decline between 15-20%, which would take EUR/USD to 1.40 predicated […]
German Gold With 3350 tonnes in the vaults and the 2nd largest gold reserve in the world after the USA, Germany has EUR 440 billion worth of moolah tied up in that asset class. Some people both inside and outside Germany are saying it might be time to spend some of it. The Bundesbank is naturally […]