As Brexit dominates the Pound, economics and monetary policy dominates the Dollar, and political scandal dominates the Rand, FX markets may start sounding like a broken record. However, one should remain very much aware that this repetition and almost paradigmatic taxonomy of certain currencies is more fragile than it may seem. Even the slightest amelioration or deterioration of the current situation could have phenomenal or catastrophic consequences for the respective currency. The Dollar has been the unquestionable winner so far this week as markets reprice their approach to the Chairmanship of Jay Powell. Sterling meanwhile has been caught in the doldrums, threatened by a Dollar that currently trades at 1.3750 against the Pound and 1.1280 against the Euro. The Rand has weakened off mildly following a disappointing and somewhat frustrating cabinet reshuffle. The Rand now trades close to 16.40 against the Pound, 11.92 against the Dollar, whilst clinging on just above 14.50 against the Euro.
Bucking the trend The Aussie Dollar has broken out from recent ranges and is on a convincing upward trajectory. Post-Covid, the antipodean currencies, AUD and NZD, had found themselves a step ahead of the dominant global cycle shared between the likes of the UK, EU, and US economies. Over the past couple of years that […]
A Dollar Vacuum If you’ve ever heard the phrase, ‘a rising tide lifts all boats’, you already know everything you need about today’s FX market. That is provided of course you’re not trying to analyse the rising tide itself, in this case our US Dollar. The Dollar is the counter currency to most key pairs […]
Renminbi Reserves? The Dollar debasement debate hasn’t finished but should now take a breather whilst some stability has been restored to the currency. A combination of the nomination of Kevin Warsh, as we noted yesterday, as well as some robust US data are to thank for that recovery. To note here whilst on the subject, […]