Summit’s Brewin’:
Following weak CPI inflation data this morning, Sterling faced an almost unrelenting headwind. Losing a value of almost 0.5% in the first 30 minutes of European trading against the Euro, the Pound found little footing from rumours seeping out of Brussels. Weak CPI data came as a surprise to traders and investors who had, only yesterday, awarded the Pound with considerable value on the back of promising wage data purporting the highest levels of wage growth since the financial crisis. Succumbing to Brexit scaremongering and uncertain economics, the Pound retreated having threatened 1.32 once again at market open. The Pound and Euro both grabbed a bid earlier this week as festering rumours of the EU’s willingness to extend the transition period into 2021 gained further credibility. A smooth Brexit that works on both sides of the Channel/North Sea is collectively better for intra-European trade, supporting both the Euro and Pound. The Dollar has gained strength today, producing a retracement on the chronic Dollar weakness that has plagued the greenback so far this week.
- GBP: Agreement in the coming days and months, say PM May. Markets question, well, which one is it?!
- EUR: Banking Union and Fiscal integration are on the table at the conference too. A progressing Union will prove positive for an ailing Euro.
- USD: Saudi-US-Turkish relations are at an interest juncture that is proving challenging for markets to manage. Risk off throughout the afternoon saw Gold, the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc rally.
Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter
Click Here to Subscribe to the SGM-FX Newsletter
Related Insights
Morning Brief – Why GBPEUR may still move lower
Charles Porter
Tue 17 Jan 2023
Why GBPEUR may still move lower Despite a significant leg downwards in late 2022, it seems plausible, indeed likely, that GBPEUR may have further to fall. Late last year and in early 2023, GBPEUR has stabilised with its fall from the teens proving sufficient to redress the changing fundamentals and flows across the currency pair. […]
Morning Brief – Short covering
Charles Porter
Thu 17 Nov 2022
Short covering Evidence from the CME provides an interesting qualification to the CFTC positioning data that GBP investors have been watching closely. For many years now, markets have held a net short position on GBP, fluctuating from more neutral grounds through to a heavy focus upon achieving selling conviction behind the Pound at times. […]
Morning Brief – The Hunt is on: UK Budget and the Global Population
Charles Porter
Tue 15 Nov 2022
The Hunt is on: UK Budget and the Global Population The Autumn budget is drawing closer with Jeremy Hunt, Chancellor of the Exchequer within Rishi Sunak’s government, due to announce the measures to the House of Commons on Thursday. Sterling had a rocky start to the week yesterday with major crosses falling as the […]
