MAYDAY:
The stubborn and perseverant Theresa May has travelled to the Netherlands today in order to meet the Dutch Prime Minister and Brexit ally, Mark Rutte. Thought to have continually supported the United Kingdom and the Prime Minister within the European Council throughout the Brexit process, May was looking to foster support ahead of Thursday’s EU summit. Whilst her cabinet and closest aids continue to support her efforts in Westminster, May has continued her not-so-grand European closing in on Brussels for the final push. Reports on the malleability surrounding Brexit concessions this week differ greatly. Juncker has reportedly ruled out any flexibility even at the margin of the text:
However, never underestimate the value and power of a simple clarification! The 585-page Brexit treaty document can, at first impression, seem expansive, daunting and comprehensive, however, don’t be fooled; so much is still left to interpretation! Should the EU offer May marginal improvements in the deal within the skeletal framework already agreed upon at the European level, Sterling could correct itself considerably.
The Dollar came under pressure this morning as President Trump once again turned against his own Federal Reserve. However, as further risk-off positioning manipulated the market environment, these concerns faded away to leave the US Dollar stronger on the day.
Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter
Bank of England As expected the BoE cut interest rates by 25bps yesterday. So far so good but then the BoE departed from the script. Flat economic growth up until the end of 2024 was less of a surprise but then a new forecast for inflation +3.7% and 2025 economic growth slashed from 1.5% to […]
Not another headline Markets have either grown complacent or are reading beyond Trump’s headline statements. Over the past week markets have been presented with the challenge of fresh tariffs on China with retaliatory tariffs on the US also due to come into force in just under a week. In addition to that they have the […]
German Election With just 18 days to go to the German election, tensions are building. The centre right CDU whose leader Friedrich Merz is likely to be the next Chancellor is under fire for proposing a tougher immigration policy. That says his critics is similar to the far right AFD and verboten given the antipathy […]