Santa Claus is coming to Pound:
Yesterday afternoon’s pessimism surrounding the capacity for Theresa May to negotiate any concessions or adjustments in Europe faded into concerns hinting towards the twilight of her premiership itself, the Pound took a tumble. The New York session saw an uncharacteristically large 0.35% wiped off of the value of the Pound. The trend continued up until May’s speech outside of number 10 this morning. Despite a downbeat and defeated expression, the Prime Minister’s battle-worthy words spurred traders and investors in the Pound to believe she will give it her all to maintain the stability within the UK government. Promising to give her all, the Pound began to appreciate, recovering the ground that the New York and Asian sessions had deprived the UK currency of. As reports and testimonies of Conservative MPs came flooding in over Twitter, letter and the rumour mill, the Pound caught one of its biggest bids of a rapidly fading 2018. Once the necessary survival threshold of 168 Conservative MPs had been recorded, the Pound freed itself from the day’s headwind, closing some 0.9% higher on the day. With strengthening risk appetite, the US Dollar lost some of the defensive demand that has supported it so well over the past weeks.
Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter
EU Stagflation With inflation blipping up and business activity turning down, the S word is back on the table. Not only manufacturing but also the services sector fell sharply in November with the Purchasing Managers Index at its lowest level this year. The EUR facing a rampant Dollar is increasingly undermined by its own weakening […]
UK Housing Market Best performance in the past two years etc etc with the Halifax average house price up 4.8% as at the end of November. Without being curmudgeonly or seasonally Scroogelike the real house price performance allowing for inflation in the last 2 years is minus 10.5% for all those mistakenly regarding their house […]
UK Equities We wrote recently about a European wide Santa Rally in Equities despite the political headwinds in Continental Europe, but it looks as if the UK market has finally managed to break out on the top side of its range and without wishing to jinx it, may be set fair. One well known Fund […]