Santa Claus is coming to Pound:
Yesterday afternoon’s pessimism surrounding the capacity for Theresa May to negotiate any concessions or adjustments in Europe faded into concerns hinting towards the twilight of her premiership itself, the Pound took a tumble. The New York session saw an uncharacteristically large 0.35% wiped off of the value of the Pound. The trend continued up until May’s speech outside of number 10 this morning. Despite a downbeat and defeated expression, the Prime Minister’s battle-worthy words spurred traders and investors in the Pound to believe she will give it her all to maintain the stability within the UK government. Promising to give her all, the Pound began to appreciate, recovering the ground that the New York and Asian sessions had deprived the UK currency of. As reports and testimonies of Conservative MPs came flooding in over Twitter, letter and the rumour mill, the Pound caught one of its biggest bids of a rapidly fading 2018. Once the necessary survival threshold of 168 Conservative MPs had been recorded, the Pound freed itself from the day’s headwind, closing some 0.9% higher on the day. With strengthening risk appetite, the US Dollar lost some of the defensive demand that has supported it so well over the past weeks.
Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter

One in three Until recently, the market had held the probability of a rate cut at the Bank of England’s November meeting at near zero. Above-target inflation and insufficient evidence of faltering economic growth alone suggested the BoE would continue to adopt a wait and see approach. Combine that with the uncertainty of the UK […]
Grinding lower The key currency pairs of GBPUSD and EURUSD continue their slow but consistent grind lower. This story is not just one of dollar strength but also a rotation away from GBP and EUR, in favour of safe havens. Under performance in global equity markets continues to be a factor behind the market’s general […]
A glimmer of (European) hope The ECB has made significant progress in cutting rates towards an accommodative level. The Eurozone saw evidence of cooling inflation much sooner than many economies and has been able to respond accordingly, cutting the deposit rate to 2%. The ECB will meet again this Thursday to publish its latest monetary […]