On 29-03-1912…..Captain Scott, Antarctic explorer made the last entry in his diary:…”The end cannot be far..For God’s sake look after our people.” Both frustrated Bremainers and Brexiters know how that feels!
Those impacted by the Pink Pound should give Brunei a miss: the Sultan has now made gay sex not only illegal but punishable by death and dismemberment. Stick to Brighton-it may be chilly but it’s closer and safer!
GBP has staged a modest recovery over the weekend with markets concluding that a much watered down Brexit is now the most likely outcome. Quite why that would be UK positive is a mystery: surrendering present advantages to be locked in disadvantages a positive? Markets as ever will, once realisation sinks in, reverse that positivity. This morning Asian equities have all rallied on stronger Chinese economic numbers. WTI Oil remains over $60 and Gold is at $1293. Government Bond Yields have firmed marginally but remain close to their recent lows. AUD strengthened against the USD as did the EUR.
With last week’s events, the odds on the next PM are now showing some interesting pricing: Whatever your voting proclivity and reflecting what a strange world Westminster represents for the rest of us, Boris Johnson and Michael Gove and Jeremy Corbyn are all joint favourites at 4-1. Followed by a clutch of Sajid Javid, Jeremy Hunt, Dominic Raab and David Liddington at 7-1.
At the other end of the spectrum Piers Morgan and Tony Blair are both 500-1. Mid fielders Andrea Ledsom, Amber Rudd and Jacob Rees-Mogg (the Hon member for the Nineteenth Century) are all at 20-1. Like the Grand National it is a very large field with plenty of likely fallers especially when one remembers that 60% of the UK public would like to see a new face as everyone is fed up with the present Tory front bench.
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder
Japan Some of the market’s Great Minds spent yesterday afternoon debating whether Japan could get away with raising interest rates at the same time as the Central Banks from the other major markets are starting to cut their interest rates. In short, Japan can and probably will, since its monetary policy has been effectively in […]
Rather you than me, Christine As we and the market alike have been speaking about recently, Eurozone rates are all the rage. As we highlighted yesterday, the path for rate cuts next year has already captivated the market with easing being forecasted as early as Q1 2024. As we approach the Christmas period, we must […]
European Interest Rates More momentum on rate cuts in the Eurozone as expectations grew for cuts starting in March and totalling 140bps in 2024. Equally in the UK cuts of 130bps starting in June are being pencilled in to market calendars. What this means is that GBP/EUR is looking more than especially good value at […]