Mmm… Well… What an interesting day for global FX markets. The day kicked off with the Court of Justice of the European Union confirming the opinion expressed by the Advocate General that Brexit is indeed reversable. Article 50 can be unilaterally reversed by the United Kingdom should it choose to do so. Despite confirming a greater breadth of possible options available to Britain as it negotiates its potential secession from the Union, the rest of the day left the Pound bruised and battered. The Pound has fallen to 18-month lows as the Prime Minister announced to Parliament this afternoon that the Brexit vote would face a considerable setback. After an emergency cabinet meeting at 11:30 this morning, concerns around May’s capacity to push through the vote through the Commons was confirmed, precipitating a spiral in underlying UK markets. The FTSE 100 index simultaneously slipped, led by tumbling financial equities. The headline index closed the day down 0.8% down, confirming investors’ increasing lack of confidence in British investments through this tumultuous time. Concerns surrounding the Indian central bank, volatility and consequent risk-off sentiment offered a great footing for the US Dollar to appreciate. Emerging markets unsurprisingly endured the wrath of animal spirits.
Today’s Global Market:
Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter
UK Growth Further worries this weekend for UK Chancellor Reeves as it emerges that if her plans were based on up to date forecasts rather than UK official growth projections not only would her numbers not add up but the UK would be faced with a GBP 30 billion hole in the budget. While inflation […]
Germany In just 6 weeks Germany will vote and while Chancellor Scholz thinks that he can win, most others are equally convinced that he cannot based on his economic record alone that has seen the German economy contract by 0.3% in 2023 and by an estimated 0.2% in 2024. That on top of his ability […]
British Pound With a GBP 4 billion auction of 10 Year Gilts today, markets are watching carefully as higher long term rates put pressure on the UK Chancellor and GBP bounces around between USD 1.21 and 1.22. After 6 consecutive trading sessions with GBP weaker and a low of 1.2097 which has taken its toll, […]