Mmm… Well… What an interesting day for global FX markets. The day kicked off with the Court of Justice of the European Union confirming the opinion expressed by the Advocate General that Brexit is indeed reversable. Article 50 can be unilaterally reversed by the United Kingdom should it choose to do so. Despite confirming a greater breadth of possible options available to Britain as it negotiates its potential secession from the Union, the rest of the day left the Pound bruised and battered. The Pound has fallen to 18-month lows as the Prime Minister announced to Parliament this afternoon that the Brexit vote would face a considerable setback. After an emergency cabinet meeting at 11:30 this morning, concerns around May’s capacity to push through the vote through the Commons was confirmed, precipitating a spiral in underlying UK markets. The FTSE 100 index simultaneously slipped, led by tumbling financial equities. The headline index closed the day down 0.8% down, confirming investors’ increasing lack of confidence in British investments through this tumultuous time. Concerns surrounding the Indian central bank, volatility and consequent risk-off sentiment offered a great footing for the US Dollar to appreciate. Emerging markets unsurprisingly endured the wrath of animal spirits.
Today’s Global Market:
Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter
US Trade War Tariffs With all markets awaiting what emanates from POTUS later today, Trump has certainly achieved one aim: getting the world’s collective attention. Increasingly desperate TV pundits have spent the past hours dragging past Trade Negotiators into the studio in an effort to get them to predict what the tariffs will look like. […]
De-Dollarization A shift away from the US Dollar with Central Bank Reserves denominated in US Dollars moving down from a high of just over 70% down to 60% in the past 20 years is note worthy but the speed of that decline makes it less striking. However there are 3 factors that are changing the […]
Pairs Trading Back in the days when I worked in Bermuda for a hedge fund, we were always seeking stocks that were overvalued and other stocks that were undervalued having analysed both sets of historical price behaviours. Normally those stocks were in the same industry but not necessarily in the same geographic region. In the […]