The Pound has recovered from yesterday’s woes. However, a fragile 0.2% appreciation on the day offers Sterling markets little commiseration with EURGBP and GBPUSD both trading slightly below the mid-point of their medium-term range. The Pound received a good bid following a confirmation from The Times that Michael Gove will not resign from May’s Cabinet where he presently holds the position of Secretary of State for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs. Following a flurry of seven resignations, the positive affirmation from one of the co-heads of the Vote Leave campaign has allowed the Pound to enjoy a small degree of breathing room, grabbing back 4/10th of one cent against the US Dollar and the Euro since the European market open. The European Central Bank President Mario Draghi spoke this morning at his last (annual) European Banking Congress in Frankfurt. The board’s comments afforded some value to the single currency due to their continued isolation from the fiscal crisis in Italy and projection towards 2019 policy normalisation steps. The US Dollar has faced a headwind overnight as an agreement or deal between China and the United States during this month’s G20 summit looked increasingly unlikely. The Dollar fell on these remarks, deflating the optimism that the US president had shown markets earlier this month.
Today’s Global Market:
Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter
Why GBPEUR may still move lower Despite a significant leg downwards in late 2022, it seems plausible, indeed likely, that GBPEUR may have further to fall. Late last year and in early 2023, GBPEUR has stabilised with its fall from the teens proving sufficient to redress the changing fundamentals and flows across the currency pair. […]
Short covering Evidence from the CME provides an interesting qualification to the CFTC positioning data that GBP investors have been watching closely. For many years now, markets have held a net short position on GBP, fluctuating from more neutral grounds through to a heavy focus upon achieving selling conviction behind the Pound at times. […]
The Hunt is on: UK Budget and the Global Population The Autumn budget is drawing closer with Jeremy Hunt, Chancellor of the Exchequer within Rishi Sunak’s government, due to announce the measures to the House of Commons on Thursday. Sterling had a rocky start to the week yesterday with major crosses falling as the […]