The Pound has recovered from yesterday’s woes. However, a fragile 0.2% appreciation on the day offers Sterling markets little commiseration with EURGBP and GBPUSD both trading slightly below the mid-point of their medium-term range. The Pound received a good bid following a confirmation from The Times that Michael Gove will not resign from May’s Cabinet where he presently holds the position of Secretary of State for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs. Following a flurry of seven resignations, the positive affirmation from one of the co-heads of the Vote Leave campaign has allowed the Pound to enjoy a small degree of breathing room, grabbing back 4/10th of one cent against the US Dollar and the Euro since the European market open. The European Central Bank President Mario Draghi spoke this morning at his last (annual) European Banking Congress in Frankfurt. The board’s comments afforded some value to the single currency due to their continued isolation from the fiscal crisis in Italy and projection towards 2019 policy normalisation steps. The US Dollar has faced a headwind overnight as an agreement or deal between China and the United States during this month’s G20 summit looked increasingly unlikely. The Dollar fell on these remarks, deflating the optimism that the US president had shown markets earlier this month.
Today’s Global Market:
Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter
UK Economic Growth 2025 The range is from 0.5% to 1.6%. Funnily enough, and not sure what conclusions one can draw from this, the four most pessimistic forecasts are all banks – Nomura, UBS, NatWest and Barclays who lead the downbeat group at 0.5%. At the other end of the scale the acronym heavy ICAEW, […]
UK Employment At 75.1%, employment for people aged 16-64 looks sort of OK depending on what that really means, but it does not alter the fact that there are currently 1.55 million people who are unemployed, or 4.4% of the potential workforce. Another much more significant number, is that there are currently 9.27 million people […]
Eastern Europe and Central Asia Between 2010 and 2019 economic growth in this large geographic area averaged 4%. According to the World Bank, that growth will decelerate to 2.5% for the next 2 years and even stripping out Russia that will still be lower at 3.3%. Inflation, weak external demand from the EU, global uncertainty […]