A country that has a small population for its size-26 million at present-Australia has just pared back its forecasts for both economic and population growth. By 2061, so in 40 years time, the population is forecast to grow to 38 million. The economy had been slated to grow by 3% a year, but due to the long term effects of Covid, that has been cut to 2.6% a year. The main driver for the economy historically has been population growth and so Australia will have a smaller and older population going forward with the consequent reduction in productivity. Exactly a year ago it cost USD 0.69 to buy AUD and it now stands at USD 0.76.
Market watchers hoping for some steer on the likely outcome of the 2022 election from the French regional runoffs yesterday will be disappointed. The key headline in early polling and before all the votes were counted was that the turnout was only 12% reflecting widespread disillusionment with all French politicians from the French electorate. Other than that, Marine Le Pen had not made the gains that were expected and the Centre Right staged a surprise recovery. So a simple case of plus ca change plus c’est la meme chose. EUR/USD neither shaken nor stirred at 1.1930.
Unidentified Aerial Phenomenom-UAP Report
Never let it be thought that SGM-FX confines itself to terrestrial matters: a report released last night from the US Pentagon has been eagerly awaited by UFO believers and scientists alike. Before you reach for your mouse and write to correct me that the word should be phenomena as it represents UAPs plural, that is the official name and maybe says plenty about the report itself as well as the grammar of the authors. The last time that the Pentagon produced such a report on UFOs and UAPs was in 1969 and it was named Project Blue Book. The conclusions drawn have not changed much in 52 years: inconclusive in a word. Simply not enough evidence to say that there are indeed UAPs despite the more than 12,000 reported sightings. Nor was there any comfort for the conspiracy theorists keen to blame China or any of the Axis of Evil for these phenomena. ET phone home?
Back in 1975 the Eagles, the Californian rock band who have sold more than 200 million albums, started a 5 week run at the top of the Billboard Top 200 with their album of the same name. Here is one of the 3 top 10 singles from that album:
One of these nights
One of these crazy old nights
We’re gonna find out pretty mama
What turns on your lights
The full moon is calling
The fever is high
And the wicked wind whispers and moans
You got your demons, you got desires
Well, I got a few of my own
Ooh, someone to be kind to in between the dark and the light
Ooh, coming right behind you, swear I’m gonna find you
One of these nights
One of these dreams
One of these lost and lonely dreams now
We’re gonna find one
Oh, one that really screams
I’ve been searching for the daughter of the Devil himself
I’ve been searching for an angel in white
I’ve been waiting for a woman who’s a little of both
And I can feel her but she’s nowhere in sight
Ooh, loneliness will blind you in between the wrong and the right…
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder
UK Housing Market Best performance in the past two years etc etc with the Halifax average house price up 4.8% as at the end of November. Without being curmudgeonly or seasonally Scroogelike the real house price performance allowing for inflation in the last 2 years is minus 10.5% for all those mistakenly regarding their house […]
EU Stagflation With inflation blipping up and business activity turning down, the S word is back on the table. Not only manufacturing but also the services sector fell sharply in November with the Purchasing Managers Index at its lowest level this year. The EUR facing a rampant Dollar is increasingly undermined by its own weakening […]
UK Equities We wrote recently about a European wide Santa Rally in Equities despite the political headwinds in Continental Europe, but it looks as if the UK market has finally managed to break out on the top side of its range and without wishing to jinx it, may be set fair. One well known Fund […]