EU Household Income
As envious eyes are cast from some in the UK towards the EU, it is worth noting that the EU average household income has increased by 7% between 2019 and 2024 i.e. since the pandemic. In case you are wondering, the UK has increased its household income by 9% over the same period. Of the larger EU economies, only France has come close to the average with 6% while Germany has only managed 4% and the 3 Nordic economies, each moving up by less than 2%. While only one measure of course, household income is a useful barometer of how economies are performing and what their populations’ cost of living are.
EUR/USD 1.1815.
US Dollar
A timely warning from Bank of America on the fallout from what they describe as a disorderly Dollar decline which while that has not happened yet, the recent Dollar volatility accompanied by still greater moves in precious metals is a wakeup call. A disorderly decline is defined as being a downward move of 5% or more in a single month. Should that happen, then sell offs in US Treasuries and much wider market fallout will be such that the notoriously unruffled Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will need to pay closer attention than his insouciance currently reflects. Barclays has also picked up on these larger br market moves citing a quantifiable risk premium attached to the USD primarily because of the recent actions of the USA.
GBP/USD 1.3611.