This was the lowest reading in the current economic cycle and the lowest since 1973 which maintained confidence in a very firm labour market and expectations that the Federal Reserve would move to tighten policy in the short term.
Fed Governor Powell maintained an optimistic tone on the outlook and stated that the Fed was very close to meeting its 2% target while a rate increase is on the table for discussion at the March FOMC meeting.
Increased expectations of a March Fed tightening continued to support the dollar, although the Euro did find some support on approach to the 1.0500 level as markets had already moved closer to pricing in a US rate hike with futures markets indicating over a 75% chance of a move.
The Euro found some support at the 1.0500 area without making any significant headway as markets waited for comments from Fed Chair Yellen and Vice-Chair Fischer after the European close on Friday.
Bucking the trend The Aussie Dollar has broken out from recent ranges and is on a convincing upward trajectory. Post-Covid, the antipodean currencies, AUD and NZD, had found themselves a step ahead of the dominant global cycle shared between the likes of the UK, EU, and US economies. Over the past couple of years that […]
A Dollar Vacuum If you’ve ever heard the phrase, ‘a rising tide lifts all boats’, you already know everything you need about today’s FX market. That is provided of course you’re not trying to analyse the rising tide itself, in this case our US Dollar. The Dollar is the counter currency to most key pairs […]
Renminbi Reserves? The Dollar debasement debate hasn’t finished but should now take a breather whilst some stability has been restored to the currency. A combination of the nomination of Kevin Warsh, as we noted yesterday, as well as some robust US data are to thank for that recovery. To note here whilst on the subject, […]