Thirty Years Ago: The Fall of the Berlin Wall
Since that seismic event in Europe and the ensuing wave of globalization that the world has experienced, it is interesting to see which economies have benefitted most: the answer is of course the USA, Brazil, Russia, India and China. In Europe the biggest winner has been Poland which has grown 550% versus Germany at 350%. The USA on the other hand has grown 1650%. These growth figures hide a lot of variations such as a substantial fall in the value of the Rouble since the Wall came down but the major driver for global economic growth has of course been much lower borrowing costs.
Chinese Takeaway: China in Numbers
Consumer Price Inflation rose 3.8% year on year in China at the end of October- higher than the 3.3% expected mainly due to higher pork prices as trailed here months ago following the outbreak of swine fever. Economic Growth is at a highly respectable 6.5%. The Producer Price Index or PPI seen as the best reflection of corporate profitability fell 1.6% in October. So far the US tariffs imposed in the trade war have cost China
USD 35Billion. The last reported foreign exchange reserves held by the People’s Bank of China in 2016 showed a figure of USD 3.12 Trillion. The composition of those reserves is a closely guarded secret but observers estimate USD 2 Trillion in USD, USD 600 Billion in Euros and USD 412 Billion split between GBP and Yen.
Worth more than USD 150 Million today and divorced since 2013 Demi Moore is a catch, a complicated catch admittedly, but a catch nonetheless. In 1995 Demi was the highest paid Hollywood actress and married at that time to tough guy Bruce Willis with whom she had three daughters now aged between 25 and 31. Since then having dated and married the much younger Ashton Kuchter, Demi has embarked in a new love direction-this time with a girlfriend. In the past year she has been stepping out with a Serbian stylist named Masha Mandzuka who has a 2 year old daughter. I’ll stop there-but I did warn you that it was complicated!
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder
48 Hours There has been a noticeable shift in geopolitical risk this week. So how, baring a mild slip lower in EURCHF, have FX markets remained quite so flat? Sure, there have been some contained intraday spikes in some commodity prices but ultimately those legs higher have been thwarted, often in the very same trading […]
Mixed signals It was not long ago that many investment banks were warning clients of the risk of a slowdown in US equities. Having performed exceptionally well in the aftermath of the pause to Trump’s liberation day tariffs, many market participants warned of the inability of equity values to continue to enable price gains. Volatility […]
Next! The outcome of the Parliamentary debate in France yesterday leaves the nation in political limbo as its Prime Minister François Bayrou is ousted. The vote yesterday was on the motion that the French Parliament held no confidence in the government’s 2026 budget. As expected, they don’t. Many prominent voices in the market suggested that […]