The UK PMI manufacturing index was lower than expected with a decline to 54.6 for February from a revised 55.7 the previous month.
The index remained above the long-term average and overall confidence remained firm with further gains in employment while inflation pressures remained strong. The net consumer lending, money supply and mortgage approvals releases were all stronger than expected, but Sterling came under renewed selling after the PMI data with a retreat to below 1.2350.
Wider US strength subsequently pushed the pair to 6-week lows below the 1.2300 level while the Euro strengthened to 0.8580. The government lost an Article 50 Amendment vote in the House of Lords over guaranteeing the rights of EU citizens in the UK. Although there will be expectations that the vote will be over-ruled in the House of Commons, there was some negative impact on Sterling sentiment and the UK currency remained firmly on the defensive on Thursday.
Friday night US Markets There was an element of the US stock market temporarily running out of oxygen at the heady heights that it had reached and looking for an excuse to take profits/sell. That excuse was provided in spades by POTUS who pronounced that he would implement much higher tariffs against China. That was […]
UK Growth To refresh your memories, UK Growth fell 0.1% in July and the hope or more accurately the expectation was that July was an aberration which would be rectified when the men with the clipboards reported on UK Growth for August. In the case of Chancellor Reeves, that expectation was rather more of a prayer […]
China and the USA What prompted POTUS to escalate the trade war last week? Before answering that, it is worth a refresh on the current state of play: US tariffs on China average 58% and China on the US 33%, and the next cliffhanger date is November 10, after which the current threat is for […]