According to the New York Federal Reserve, one-year inflation expectations rose to 3.0% in the latest survey from 2.8% previously and the highest reading since the middle of 2015.
Inflation expectations will be an important element of Fed thinking over the next few months, especially as the FOMC had worried previously that low expectations would prevent a rise in the inflation rate.
Dallas Fed President Kaplan stated that the Fed should raise interest rates again sooner rather than later with rates increasing in a gradual and patient manner.
The dollar’s trade-weighted index hit the highest level for over three weeks and the Euro dipped to test support below the 1.0600 level as strong risk appetite curbed Euro support.
Commentary from Fed Chair Yellen will be watched very closely on Tuesday with markets currently putting the chances of a March interest rate increase at around 22%.
Any hints of a March hike would provide further net dollar support as the Euro edged back above 1.0600 on a wider US retracement.
A belated jobs surprise Entering last week, the markets had expected January’s non-farm payrolls to be published on Friday. After disruptions to the frequency and quality of this statistic, published by the Bureau for Labor Statistics, yesterday’s data point had become all the more important. As last week progressed, it became apparent that the market […]
Quick to Retreat A receding US Dollar once again yesterday was able to lift the outlook for FX. One significant outlier to that remained the Pound Sterling which, whilst still able to outperform an ailing Dollar, itself sunk lower. The main cause cited behind the underwhelming performance of GBP has been rising political risk. This […]
A Dollar Vacuum If you’ve ever heard the phrase, ‘a rising tide lifts all boats’, you already know everything you need about today’s FX market. That is provided of course you’re not trying to analyse the rising tide itself, in this case our US Dollar. The Dollar is the counter currency to most key pairs […]