Finely balanced is probably the best way to describe how the Federal Reserve views the US economy given that for the past 20 months policy has been directed towards restoring full employment. At one extreme there is a view that there are between 4 and 6 million fewer jobs than prior to the pandemic so the economy needs further nurturing through low rates and continued bond buying. At the other end is the view that inflation is being stoked and more immediate action is required than rate rises in 2022. There is also an argument that says that if rates are kept lower for longer it will hurt the very people that strategy is designed to help because when rates do rise they will have to do so in a bigger way than if some medicine is administered now. 10 Year US Treasuries yield 1.60% and EUR/USD at 1.1340.
To be sure it seems a novel idea but Shell has inked a 51% stake in an offshore floating wind project off the West coast of Ireland. There is definitely plenty of wind in that area which is probably why the project is forecast to generate 1.35 gigawatts sufficient to power 1 million Irish homes. Floating wind power generation is in its infancy but could unlock generation in deeper waters and that is why Irish developer Simply Blue Group is doubtlessly celebrating with some of the other non-oil black stuff-Guinness.
With inflation at 20% and a fall already in the Lira this year of 30%, conventional wisdom would be to raise interest rates. But this is Turkey so their unwillingness to tighten monetary conditions meant yesterday that rates were cut by 1% on top of cuts totalling 3% in the past few months as President Erdogan continues to call for lower interest rates. USD/TRL at 11.14.
The Italian luxury group is targeting 40% revenue growth by boosting its online business. Retail sales grew 18% in the 3 months to September versus the same period in 2019, so such an ambitious target does not look outlandish. Prada is listed in Hong Kong and the shares at HKD 54.60 are almost at their 5 year peak of HKD 59.10 reached on August 6 this year.
This album released by Van Morrison in 1970 took a whole 6 years to make it into the Billboard 100 Chart and then only at number 29. However if Van Morrison is a slow burner, he is still having the last laugh as at the age of 76, the diminutive Irish rocker is worth USD 90 million and is still performing. Here is one of the best songs from the album; Dancing in the Moonlight:
We get it almost everynight
When that moon gets big and bright
It’s a supernatural delight
Everybody was dancing in the moonlight
Everybody here is outta sight
They don’t bark and they don’t bite
They keep things loose, they keep things light
Everybody was dancing in the moonlight
Dancin in the moonlight
Everybody’s feelin warm and bright
It’s such a fine and natural sight
Everybody’s dancin in the moonlight
We like to have fun and we never fight
You can’t dance and stay uptight
It’s a supernatural delight
Everybody was dancin in the moonlight
Dancin in the moonlight
Everybody’s feelin warm and bright
It’s such a fine and natural sight
Everybody’s dancin in the moonlight
Have a Great Weekend!
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder
UK Borrowing Another one for the pub quiz in case it comes up: UK government borrowing stands at £2.8 trillion or £2800 billion. While you digest that number over the chicken in the basket if indeed you are already in the pub, it will have increased by the time you get to the end of this […]
USD 2 Trillion Trade Deals That is the total trade deal bag that POTUS Trump is credited admittedly by himself with snagging in his whirlwind Gulf trip this week. Many are puzzled and a few have attempted to tot up the value of the Saudi, UAE and Qatari deals, but no-one has succeeded in getting […]
POTUS in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia As one of POTUS’ travelling companions on this week’s visit, Larry Fink of Blackrock represents everything that a US President might want to burnish his credentials in the desert kingdom: head of the largest asset manager on the planet, hugely influential and totally credible. Just a shame that he […]