Super Bowl Tariffs
Donald Trump became the first sitting President to attend the Super Bowl this weekend. He received media attention and applause from the crowd as the camera panned to him. That wasn’t the only surprise the President provided this weekend. As tariff season progresses, the President turned his sight to the key industries of Steel and Aluminium. The US imports the minority of its steel consumption from a host of nations including Mexico, Canada, Japan and Germany. Given the inclusion of Germany within this list and with markets dialled in to a European response to US tariffs, the EU’s reaction will be closely monitored.
Whilst punitive (not least to US construction), the scope of these prospective tariffs is narrower than those previously announced (and renounced) against Canada and Mexico. Markets therefore unsurprisingly took the announcement calmly in their stride today. However, their reaction was also likely a factor of the reversal in risk that took place last week when earlier tariffs were withdrawn or suspended.
Markets do not stand as sceptics of the White House, rather they seem cautious of the administration’s propensity to taper policy prior to implementation. The data calendar was light yesterday. However, releases following last week’s central banks decisions will commence from today. We hear from the BoE’s Andrew Bailey and Fed Chair Jay Powell today also. Markets remain sensitive to headlines largely of a political nature.
Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter

Defiance Yesterday’s market was defying one of two things: logic or gravity. Come to think of it, perhaps both. Take cable, GBPUSD, yesterday. The key events beyond minor data releases centred around any chatter from either side of the Iranian conflict and Starmer singing for his supper. Sing he did and tweet the President did, […]
Short-lived relief rally A tantrum in the bond market has continued to erode away at risk conditions in recent sessions. In the UK, the sell-off in gilts and corporate bonds has been particularly acute thanks to heightened political instability, the origins of which we have covered thoroughly in recent briefings. Yesterday, headlines delivered enough optimism […]
Room to manoeuvre Kevin Warsh was sworn into office at the White House on Friday. Despite limited market movement on Friday, many prices gapped significantly come the open yesterday. Whilst the UK and US observed a bank holiday yesterday, many indices and currencies were on the move. The theme across the market was risk on […]