SGM-FX insights

Our Daily Brief provides insights into the news and views driving today’s foreign currency exchange rates.

Bouncing Equities, Depressed Currencies

Bouncing Equities, Depressed Currencies

SGM-FX Mon 8 Jan 2018

Overview:   Towards the end of last week, the Dow Jones soared above $25,000.00, whilst the Dollar continued its decline. The two are unlikely to be mere coincidence as the weaker Dollar supports the activities of the outwardly orientated, international, blue-chip companies that populate the industrial index. In the UK, whilst the move has been […]

A Warming Channel

A Warming Channel

SGM-FX Tue 2 Jan 2018

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   In a year that could see the further normalisation of developed economies’ monetary policies as well as the restoration of volatility and geo-political risk; fortune may well favour the brave. However, on this, the first trading day of the New Year, fortune also appears to favour Sterling, with […]

2018 Short-Run USD Strength

2018 Short-Run USD Strength

SGM-FX Fri 29 Dec 2017

    The Pound initially recovered its post-Christmas losses this morning. Moreover, marginal volatility appears to have returned to foreign exchange markets. On the final trading day before 2018, the EUR-USD currency cross continues its impressive attempt to retest 1.20. The currency pair broke this level in September, and presently trades just 8 pips short […]

Italian Elections Ahead

Italian Elections Ahead

SGM-FX Thu 28 Dec 2017

The forex market this morning has largely extended the trends that began yesterday: the US Dollar continues to shed considerable value; the Euro appears stronger against most of its G-10 counterparts; and the Pound’s performance is highly mixed. This morning, Italian Prime Minister Paolo Gentiloni accelerated the aggregated political risk surrounding the Euro. The Italian […]

2018 Currency Outlook

2018 Currency Outlook

SGM-FX Wed 27 Dec 2017

Following Christmas, currency markets appear lethargic too. The low liquidity environment of the end of the year has seen most currencies stay within a very tight and unthreatening channel. Today, the biggest major mover of the day was the US Dollar. Today’s market movements seem rather reminiscent of the entire year: a mixed pound sterling, […]

EU Summit

EU Summit

SGM-FX Wed 13 Dec 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   Yesterday afternoon, the US Dollar only continued its unrelenting advance. Since the beginning of De­cember, the Dollar has gained almost 1.5% against its shared currency counterpart, the Euro. The EUR USD cross now threatens 1.17. The most notable event of today will be an interest rate decision by […]

Forex Newsletter Update

Forex Newsletter Update

SGM-FX Wed 29 Nov 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter: After a somewhat subdued morning and afternoon yesterday, markets kicked to life. An abrupt claim from the Telegraph suggested that the UK and the EU had reached an agreement on the so-called Brexit ‘divorce’ bill. The news supported the Pound strongly, raising Sterling against the US Dollar by as […]

Ireland, the Euro and the Pound

Ireland, the Euro and the Pound

SGM-FX Tue 28 Nov 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   The US Dollar looked in a weak position throughout yesterday morning and into the early afternoon. However, the market open within the US saw a retraction from questionable Dollar weakness and move further away from a significant 1.20 against the Euro. Little changed yesterday to reverse the Dollar’s […]

Merkel’s Fortune Changes

Merkel’s Fortune Changes

SGM-FX Fri 24 Nov 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter: The Pound Sterling, the Euro and, just about, the Dollar have all received a boost this morning. Climbing over their international counterparts, the Pound is being supported by optimism ahead of December’s EU Council summit. Following strong Eurozone soft data, released yesterday morning, the Euro has similarly received a […]

Morning Briefing

Morning Briefing

SGM-FX Thu 23 Nov 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   Sterling markets have opened weaker this morning following a budget that was overshadowed by pessimistic growth forecasts. Sterling markets reacted ambivalently to the second reading of third quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Measuring economic growth, the statistics release showed no change. Currency markets are showing a mixed message […]

Bailout Budget

Bailout Budget

SGM-FX Wed 22 Nov 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   As markets open this morning, it is apparent that the value of the US Dollar was harmed by Janet Yellen’s remarks during a public conversation with Sir Mervyn King, former Bank of England Governor, last night. Speaking at the NYU Stern School of Business, Yellen painted an opaque […]

UK Public Finance

UK Public Finance

SGM-FX Tue 21 Nov 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter: Sterling markets once again look more robust at market open this morning. While the outcome of yesterday’s 10-strong ’inner’ cabinet meeting has not been made public, and is not expected to become so within the next few weeks, reports coming from media and privileged cabinet ministers are positive. Dominating […]

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