With WTI lower at $88.90 a barrel, the question is whether the price returns to what the oil market has described as the floor of $100 post the recent wobble on the global economy or whether that wobble turns into further weakening of the oil price predicated by the need for further tough medicine against inflation leading to a (deeper) recession. OPEC are unshaken in their view on this and have said that demand will increase strongly in the next year due to consumers switching from expensive natural gas to oil fired heating.
The new UK Health Secretary called on the NHS to abandon the use of the Oxford comma. Because I did not go to Oxford and being ignorant of this grammatical geegaw, I looked it up. It is a comma before the “and” in the following sentence: Where are the USD,GBP, and EUR going in the next 6 months? Somehow at SGM-FX we have managed to soldier on in the global FX markets without the Oxford comma for the past few years. In answer to the question posed in the sentence: USD remains strong although currently taking a breath at EUR/USD 0.9980, GBP is becalmed in what some fear is the eye of the storm. Anything to do with EUR is overshadowed by the EU wide energy crisis. As for Therese Coffey’s call to her colleagues: it has gone down as badly as it possibly could, and has been described as “patronising.” GBP/USD 1.1490
Normally when Glaswegians are reported seeing shooting stars at 10 at night from their front rooms, it is put down as over indulgence In Scotland’s national drink. However no less an authority than the International Meteor Organization apart from confirming 800 different reports from Northern Ireland and Western Scotland has advised that given the speed that the bright light was moving on Wednesday night, it was likely to be part of a satellite that was streaking across the night sky before burning itself out.
GBP/EUR unmoved at 1.1505.
This day in 2015, Sothebys announced that they were auctioning Janis Joplin’s pearl white 1965 Porsche 365 c 1600 Cabriolet painted with a flower power mural which she drove until her death in October 1970. Her devotion to the Porsche marque did not prevent her singing what is arguably her most famous song:
Oh Lord, won’t you buy me a Mercedes Benz?
My friends all drive Porsches, I must make amends
Worked hard all my lifetime, no help from my friends
So, oh, Lord, won’t you buy me a Mercedes Benz?
Oh Lord, won’t you buy me a color TV?
Dialing For Dollars is trying to find me
I wait for delivery each day until three
So, oh, Lord, won’t you buy me a color TV?
Oh, Lord, won’t you buy me a night on the town?
I’m counting on you Lord, please don’t let me down
Prove that you love me and buy the next round
Oh, Lord, won’t you buy me a night on the town?
Everybody
Oh, Lord, won’t you buy me a Mercedes Benz?
My friends all drive Porsches, I must make amends
Worked hard all my lifetime, no help from my friends
So, oh Lord, won’t you buy me a Mercedes Benz?
That’s it
Have a Great Weekend!
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder

Sell first, question later The jury is still out on whether the initial “sell everything” reaction to a sudden increase in geopolitical risk has concluded. Certainly, some volatility remains which serves as an indication that trading conditions have not calmed whilst markets continue to question how this chapter of US military intervention ends. Emerging markets […]
Fade America There have been times during Trump’s second term that have had markets and financial commentators alike calling for an era of ‘sell-America’. Sell-America is the notion describing a scenario in which investor sentiment sours towards the US so much so that valuations across US assets decline. This is a unique scenario because many […]
Return to geopolitics The decision from the US to wage war on Iran has, of course, taken its toll on markets. The obvious move in such an environment from investors is to de-risk. That decision carries the tell-tale impacts in FX of boosting the Dollar’s value, putting EM under pressure, and causing a flood of […]