UK consumer prices declined 0.5% in January and, although the year-on-year rate increased to 1.8% from 1.6% which was the highest rate since June 2014, this was slightly lower than the consensus forecast of a sharper increase to 1.9%.
There was significant upward pressure on transport costs which was offset by a decline in clothing prices.
The data will dampen expectations that the Bank of England may need to tighten monetary policy more aggressively to curb inflation, although there was a larger than expected increase in producer prices which suggests underlying pressures may be building.
Sterling weakened significantly following the inflation data with the UK currency moving back below the 1.2500 level as the Euro moved to the 0.8520 area, although gilts reversed initial gains.
The UK currency was resilient at lower levels and regained support during the New York session as the Euro retreated back below 0.8500. The latest labour-market data will be released on Wednesday with a particular focus on the earnings data.
Gold and Silver Due to the vertiginous moves in both these precious metals all markets are more than usually fixated on the price action at present. Yesterday, both steadied and clawed back some of the recent losses with Gold rising almost 6% and Silver 10% to USD 4921, and USD 86.70 respectively at the time […]
US Payrolls Consensus is a wonderful feeling for market analysts and the consensus among them leading up to Friday afternoon’s release was that there would be 60,000 new jobs in the US economy announced for February. As it turned out there was a certain safety in numbers in that those analysts were all wrong when […]
UK Economy For the 3 months to January, the UK economy grew 0.2% i.e. unchanged since December which means that for all Chancellor Reeves’ talk of growth, the UK economy has not moved since June last year. Before the claim can be made that this is due to the geo-political forces affecting the global economy, it […]